Sliding toward a no-deal Brexit and a US recession?

A couple of things today.

The default is no-deal, the base case is extension of article 50

I waited until the bust settled on the no-confidence vote before I decided to write again about Brexit. It was clear that the fear of Corbyn as PM would cause Conservative MPs to hold together. And the DUP has long said they would back May in a no-confidence vote. B…