Increasingly, prognosticators are talking about a recession in the United States by 2020. But not everyone is onboard with those predictions. Moreover, arguments vary both in terms of why a recession would take hold and in what the likely…
Quick note here to update you on some of the macro data I continue to be bullish on the near-term US economy. As I wrote this morning, the Q2 and Q3 GDP numbers are both showing more than 4% growth. And with the ISM Manufacturing data…
The magnitude of the revision is eye-catching. And my inner sceptic wonders how the initial data reads could have got it so wrong.
Daily newsletter post with thughts on the latest GDP numbers, a US-EU trade deal and the earnings numbers coming from social media companies
These are conflicting narratives, yes. But they don't have to be because, as Minsky quipped, stability breeds instability.
Oil prices are at a point where Donald Trump may consider using the using the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to provide modest price relief to consumers.