Handicapping the logic behind predictions for a recession by 2020

Yesterday's daily featured four views on a potential global recession and financial crisis by the end of the year 2020. Nouriel Roubini had the view I think easiest to deconstruct because he lays out ten separate trigger points that could weaken the economy and precipitate recession. So I want to go through each of those points briefly, one by one.
1 - Will US fiscal stimulus lessen?
In Roubini's piece he says the following:
the fiscal-stimulus policies that are currently pushing the annual US growth rate above its 2% potential are unsustainable. By 2020, the stimulus will run out, and a modest fiscal drag will pull growth from 3% to slightly below 2%.
I have looked at the numbers and don't see any reason to believe Trump's stimulus will dissipate by 2020.

For example, the Peterson Instit...


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