The latest flow of funds data from the US Federal Reserve show that the great American household deleveraging may be over. This should add a credit accelerator to the US economy which maintains growth. Meanwhile analysts are increasingly optimistic about US and global economic fortunes. Data points and analysis follow.
As I delve into this topic, I want to be upfront that I share the optimism about the cyclical upswing in the US and global economy which I will describe. I see the risks as mostly to the upside, in the form of asset bubbles. Nevertheless, I do want to add a word of caution here because I believe that the secular forces of private debt are looming in the background. So we will need to see wage growth during this cyclical upturn for the incipient releverag...
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Edward Harrison is the founder of Credit Writedowns and a former career diplomat, investment banker and technology executive with over twenty five years of business experience. He has also been a regular economic and financial commentator in print and on television for the past decade. He speaks six languages and reads another five, skills he uses to provide a more global perspective. Edward holds an MBA in Finance from Columbia University and a BA in Economics from Dartmouth College.