Summary: My caution on U.S. markets is based not just on technical factors coming from the crisis in emerging markets and the longstanging lack of a market correction. I am also concerned that interest rates have started to rise against a backdrop of weaker profit margins.
I have heard a lot of commentary of late about the potential for a 'crash' or a large market correction. It seems people are nervous given how volatile the emerging markets have been recently. I am also concerned about this and the spillover effect the crisis there could have. But there are more fundamental reasons to be concerned about a market correction.
Yesterday, I posted a link to a post called "Popping the "Bubble" Bubble"on Noahpinion, which tried to justify the rise in share prices as driven b...
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Edward Harrison is the founder of Credit Writedowns and a former career diplomat, investment banker and technology executive with over twenty five years of business experience. He has also been a regular economic and financial commentator in print and on television for the past decade. He speaks six languages and reads another five, skills he uses to provide a more global perspective. Edward holds an MBA in Finance from Columbia University and a BA in Economics from Dartmouth College.