Michael Pettis had a great write-up on the situation in Spain and Europe's depressing prospects. While his conclusion that Spain will be forced to exit the euro zone is something I have yet to endorse, the logic he uses surrounding many of the economic and policy constraints bears remembering. In particular, his comments on Europe's inability to extend the crisis and pretend their banks are solvent are important because the undercapitalisation of Europe's banks lies at the heart of this crisis.
This is a brief post, so I'll get right to the part that Pettis draws on which i believe is significant. He writes:
I think Berlin is betting that if they can prolong the crisis long enough, while pretending that the problem is one of liquidity, not solvency, they can recapitalize the Germ...
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Edward Harrison is the founder of Credit Writedowns and a former career diplomat, investment banker and technology executive with over twenty five years of business experience. He has also been a regular economic and financial commentator in print and on television for the past decade. He speaks six languages and reads another five, skills he uses to provide a more global perspective. Edward holds an MBA in Finance from Columbia University and a BA in Economics from Dartmouth College.