The origins of the next crisis

William White, the former chief economist at the Bank of International Settlements (BIS) gave an important speech at George Soros' Inaugural Institute of New Economic Thinking (INET) conference in Cambridge.  While everyone is casting about for the one magic bullet solution which would have prevented this and future crises, he placed the blame for the credit crisis on short-termism, pointing the finger most notably at economists and their models. White said that the models almost all economists use are 'flow' models which leave no room for 'stocks' and thus completely miss unsustainable secular trends. In essence, White was saying: "it's the debt, stupid."  When aggregate debt levels build up across business cycles, economists focused on managing within business cycl...


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