Bernanke is responsible for the market meltdown


The Fed has lost all credibility in the markets. On Wednesday, Ben Bernanke was unable to put his money where his mouth is. Earlier, he jawboned on inflation, trying to match the BoE and the ECB in rhetoric, but his actions speak louder than words. He did not raise rates as I predicted.

On Thursday, the market was down, marking the worst June since the Great Depression. In my view, this is a direct result of Bernanke’s loose monetary policy as U.S. base interest rates are at 2% while inflation is running at 4%. This is like paying banks 2% to borrow from the Fed.

The result has been inflation in commodities, particularly in food and energy, and market turbulence. We saw the reaction to Bernanke’s dovish actions in the market moves yesterday: oil up, gold up, markets down, and dollar down. While Bernanke thinks he is helping the banking industry, he is only delaying the inevitable and making the unwind process that much more difficult and protracted. Loose money is what got us into this mess, not what will get us out.

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It will be very compelling to see the ECB raise rates in contrast. If they do raise rates, expect the dollar to fall further. This will be bad news for the U.S. economy.

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